How bad do we all think things are likely going to get in the west/imperial cores? How quickly do we think the west's internal spiral to fascism is going to proceed?
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    iie
    4h ago 100%

    in the US there aren't enough white people to take over the country, I think it'll be neoliberal police state transphobia, not third reich transphobia.

    *not trying to be flippant with this brief comment, just trying to be concise because I don't have the credibility to be verbose

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  • Bulletins and News Discussion from October 14th to October 20th, 2024 - Paper Tigers
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    iie
    21h ago 100%

    The Lancet suggested around 186,000 deaths, direct and indirect, back in July of this year

    In recent conflicts, such indirect deaths range from three to 15 times the number of direct deaths. Applying a conservative estimate of four indirect deaths per one direct death9 to the 37 396 deaths reported, it is not implausible to estimate that up to 186 000 or even more deaths could be attributable to the current conflict in Gaza. Using the 2022 Gaza Strip population estimate of 2 375 259, this would translate to 7·9% of the total population in the Gaza Strip. A report from Feb 7, 2024, at the time when the direct death toll was 28 000, estimated that without a ceasefire there would be between 58 260 deaths (without an epidemic or escalation) and 85 750 deaths (if both occurred) by Aug 6, 2024.10

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  • Not sure how to make the .worlders see this, but fuck you
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    iie
    2w ago 100%

    I think goat capitalized Whites to refer to anti-communists, not white people.

    Then again, with the stuff he's posted in the past, who knows

    10
  • complete dork laments hexbear is radicalizing the youth
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    iie
    2w ago 100%

    The sidebar pic showing Xi Jinping as a yellow bear is strange too. I know the meme started in China, but surely goat realizes that most people on lemmy have no idea where that meme came from? Lemmy users are going to log on and see a predominantly white forum portraying Xi Jinping as a yellow bear for some reason. Context matters, doesn't it? In China, there's no risk the image will seem racist, but can you imagine posting that image on sh.itjust.works? Fuck. Not something I would ever do. Wasn't there even a thread pointing this out to goat a long time ago, and yet the image is still there?

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  • What are some good recent movies/ TV shows?
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    iie
    2w ago 100%

    It's six years old, but The Haunting of Hill House is great. It's good horror in its own right, but also uses horror to explore family and childhood in an interesting way.

    11
  • complete dork laments hexbear is radicalizing the youth
  • "Initials" by "Florian Körner", licensed under "CC0 1.0". / Remix of the original. - Created with dicebear.comInitialsFlorian Körnerhttps://github.com/dicebear/dicebearII
    iie
    2w ago 100%

    @goat@lemmy.ml it really is suspicious that you are so dedicated. In my experience, libs don't care that much about communists. Libs don't spend more than a year trying to make a communist forum look bad, and they certainly don't deliberately distort the truth to do so—like you implying we're anti-vax, or claiming lemmygrad hates trans people as if nutomic speaks for them, when you've been here long enough to know better. Libs don't knowingly lie like that, they don't think they need to. Libs live in a media bubble, they're confident they can express every aspect of their mainstream, socially acceptable, vetted perspective in public and it will surely withstand criticism from some communists on a fringe forum. In my experience, the ones who lie and distort are the alt-right. The dedication, the dishonesty, it really gives me a strange vibe, goat.

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  • Are you cisgender? Gender Survey Result: Majority of active Hexbear users say No and Maybe.
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    iie
    2w ago 100%

    We need similar purges for misogynists

    We need bait threads. Not only to lure out the worst offenders, but also to drive discussion that will reeducate everyone else. Purging isn't enough. There needs to be site discourse, so that when someone points out misogyny, enough other people will recognize that they're right to prevent a dogpile. Also people here need practice articulating why a comment is misogynistic, which will help with enforcement.

    5
  • Bulletins and News Discussion from October 7th to October 13th, 2024 - Happy International Paragliding Day!
  • "Initials" by "Florian Körner", licensed under "CC0 1.0". / Remix of the original. - Created with dicebear.comInitialsFlorian Körnerhttps://github.com/dicebear/dicebearII
    iie
    2w ago 100%

    Why did America try to overthrow Assad, and why did Russia step in? I’ve heard vague things about Americans guarding oil fields in Syria. Was the operation in Syria mostly motivated by oil or is the picture more complicated?

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  • Article gives fascinating joint history of the CIA and US finance, "two sides of the same coin."
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    iie
    2w ago 100%

    Where? Did I miss something? The article talks about Charles Lindbergh Senior, not his son the aviator, and the word naziism only appears twice in the entire article, neither time in relation to either Lindbergh. Covert Action Magazine is a leftist publication with an emphasis on covering capitalist intelligence operations. Most of their recent articles are about Gaza. They’re not going to be fans of the Lindberghs.

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  • http://shipstructure.org/pdf/2007symp09.pdf

    > # Abstract > > Recent research has demonstrated that extreme waves, waves with crest to trough heights of 20 to 30 meters, occur more frequently than previously thought. Also, over the past several decades, a surprising number of large commercial vessels have been lost in incidents involving extreme waves. Many of the victims were bulk carriers. Current design criteria generally consider significant wave heights less than 11 meters (36 feet). Based on what is known today, this criterion is inadequate and consideration should be given to designing for significant wave heights of 20 meters (65 feet), meanwhile recognizing that waves 30 meters (98 feet) high are not out of the question. The dynamic force of wave impacts should also be included in the structural analysis of the vessel, hatch covers and other vulnerable areas (as opposed to relying on static or quasi-dynamic analyses). > > # Introduction > > Recent research by the European Community has demonstrated that extreme waves—waves with crest to trough heights of 20 to 30 meters—occur more frequently than previously thought (MaxWave Project, 2003). In addition, over the past several decades, a surprising number of large commercial vessels have been lost in incidents involving extreme waves. Many of the victims were bulk carriers that broke up so quickly that they sank before a distress message could be sent or the crew could be rescued. > > There also have been a number of widely publicized events where passenger liners encountered large waves (20 meters or higher) that caused damage, injured passengers and crew members, but did not lead to loss of the vessel. This is not a new phenomenon; there are well-documented events dating back to at least the early 1940s. > > These two facts, vessel losses combined with knowledge that waves larger than previously considered likely may be encountered, suggest that reviewing vessel design criteria may be necessary. (Smith, 2006).

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    https://x.com/AlanRMacLeod/status/1818050593468072023

    The twitter thread is referenced in [this excellent article](https://orinocotribune.com/venezuela-while-us-politicians-call-fraud-american-election-observers-endorse-results/) by the same journalist, Alan MacLeod, which I [posted here yesterday](https://hexbear.net/post/3124885?scrollToComments=false), but I think it deserves its own post. Thread reader: https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1818050593468072023.html ::: spoiler If you don't feel like clicking a link, here are the tweets transcribed, with some links added: - https://x.com/AlanRMacLeod/status/1818050593468072023 [Thread] There is a coup d'etat attempt underway here in Venezuela 🇻🇪, fueled by tons of fake news. In this thread, I'll debunk some of the most egregious and viral fake stories circulating. Add your own in the replies. - https://x.com/AlanRMacLeod/status/1818052769082704031 A viral [video](https://x.com/ImMeme0/status/1817764920429003129) claims that leftist thieves are stealing ballot boxes. In reality, these are aircon units. Ballot boxes are small brown cardboard boxes, barely larger than a shoebox. These giant appliances bear no resemblance to ballot boxes - https://x.com/AlanRMacLeod/status/1818053257115123891 [This](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GTsFzNVWsAAKDuE?format=jpg&name=large) is what a ballot box in Venezuela actually looks like. - https://x.com/AlanRMacLeod/status/1818054183485915218 This [video](https://x.com/mluciaramirez/status/1817985633450868752), claiming to show huge clashes between protestors and police today is going viral. But, as @ldejesusreyes and others have noted, this video is 7 years old. - https://x.com/AlanRMacLeod/status/1818059536583823366 This [image](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GTsLg4DW0AAtDN7?format=jpg&name=large), which many claim to be official election results, has been seen by tens of millions of people. It claims that the vote count is 109%. But actually, all that happened is that the three minor opposition candidates pictured got 4.6% of the vote together, not each. - https://x.com/AlanRMacLeod/status/1818064977078755666 People are claiming this [image](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GTsQdlIWsAAusCN?format=jpg&name=large) is from the national electoral council (CNE), and the charts on the screens show a Gonzalez victory. But this isn't from the CNE at all. Rather, it is from Mercal Aragua, a totally different organization with no access to voting information - https://x.com/AlanRMacLeod/status/1818078328924074438 The opposition is also blatantly using a bot network to boost their narrative on social media. HT: @JulianMaciasT [[image 1](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GTscmviXcAEdlgm?format=jpg&name=large)] [[image 2](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GTscmwoWkAAkEC-?format=jpg&name=large)] - https://x.com/AlanRMacLeod/status/1818154265040335139 I know for a fact that [this](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GTthqweW4AAGqMY?format=jpg&name=large) is fake news, because I was right there in this crowd as this video was taken. It was, in fact, the opposition that tried to shut down this Caracas polling station. A group of over 100 right-wing demonstrators crowded round the entrance to stop people from entering. - https://x.com/AlanRMacLeod/status/1818178188989575386 Elon Musk himself [retweets](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GTt3bUQW8AAljPN?format=jpg&name=large) a video purporting to show protestors tearing down a statue of President Hugo Chavez today. But this video is from 2017. - https://x.com/AlanRMacLeod/status/1818367339987185809 The widely circulated images of a man in Aragua "murdered by government" are completely fake, as this [video](https://x.com/BrianMteleSUR/status/1818316729455382952), shared by @BrianMteleSUR clearly shows. He just gets up and leaves, after he "dies". - https://x.com/AlanRMacLeod/status/1818453132667421160 Perhaps the most important fake news is that the opposition actually won 73% of the vote. The US government has fueled these allegations. But I spoke to dozens of American electoral observers here, and they told a very different story. My report: [[his article](https://orinocotribune.com/venezuela-while-us-politicians-call-fraud-american-election-observers-endorse-results/) which I posted yesterday] - https://x.com/AlanRMacLeod/status/1818484943787335999 Versions of this image, which purport to show a police officer pointing a gun at a defenseless woman and child, have been seen by millions of people. But video evidence clearly shows that the police officer is unarmed, and is actually waving his arms at her. HT: @JulianMaciasT [[image](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GTyNLveXcAA4BPS?format=png&name=900x900)] [[video](https://x.com/i/status/1818484943787335999)] - https://x.com/AlanRMacLeod/status/1818514556643123509 This is total nonsense. I've been speaking with people flying out from the airport, and it is operating completely normally. There is no takeover of the airport at all. And as for Maduro, he just gave a speech tonight at the presidential palace, in front of thousands of people. [[image 1](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GTyovvQWIAA4oep?format=png&name=small)] [[image 2](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GTypOzZW0AAcUdS?format=png&name=small)] - https://x.com/AlanRMacLeod/status/1818518506578546871 This [video](https://x.com/ImMeme0/status/1818097636982837377) has 1.7 million views, and 21,000 likes. But it is highly misleading: the video is from 2017. - https://x.com/AlanRMacLeod/status/1818640163246858738 Right-wing Spanish politician Isabel Diaz Ayuso jumps on the fake news bandwagon, sharing a 2017 [clip](https://x.com/IdiazAyuso/status/1818396955682259080), as if it was from this week. Expect a lot more of this in the coming days. HT: @JulianMaciasT - https://x.com/AlanRMacLeod/status/1818745132709298436 This viral [video](https://x.com/jhonfDerecha/status/1818137930084282644) has been seen by millions. It claims to show the Venezuelan 🇻🇪 military massacring peaceful protestors. Two problems: 1) It is from 2016 🤦 2) It is from Turkiye 🇹🇷 - https://x.com/AlanRMacLeod/status/1818750336850375160 You'll never believe this, but Alex Jones is putting out [fake news](https://x.com/RealAlexJones/status/1818648282031100332) on Venezuela, falsely claiming Maduro has ordered the arreat of his opposition opponent, Edmundo Gonzalez. - https://x.com/AlanRMacLeod/status/1819387180252364998 Right-wing Colombian senator Maria Fernanda Cabal [shares](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GT_CrJHXcAAX9WM?format=png&name=900x900) a video of Maduro's men torturing their opponents. The problem? It is actually a clip from the Netflix show, Simón. :::

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    orinocotribune.com

    > “I am actually kind of blown away by how advanced this system is, particularly compared to the backward nature of the U.S., so I am completely impressed,” Jodi Dean, a professor and political scientist, said.

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    https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(24)01169-3/fulltext

    > **In recent conflicts, such indirect deaths range from three to 15 times the number of direct deaths. Applying a conservative estimate of four indirect deaths per one direct death [9] to the 37,396 deaths reported, it is not implausible to estimate that up to 186,000 or even more deaths could be attributable to the current conflict in Gaza.** Using the 2022 Gaza Strip population estimate of 2,375,259, this would translate to 7.9% of the total population in the Gaza Strip. A report from Feb 7, 2024, at the time when the direct death toll was 28,000, estimated that without a ceasefire there would be between 58,260 deaths (without an epidemic or escalation) and 85 750 deaths (if both occurred) by Aug 6, 2024.[10] A note on the "direct death toll" of 37,396: > By June 19, 2024, 37 396 people had been killed in the Gaza Strip since the attack by Hamas and the Israeli invasion in October, 2023, according to the Gaza Health Ministry, as reported by the UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs.[1] The Ministry's figures have been contested by the Israeli authorities, although they have been accepted as accurate by Israeli intelligence services,[2] the UN, and WHO. These data are supported by independent analyses, comparing changes in the number of deaths of UN Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA) staff with those reported by the Ministry,[3] which found claims of data fabrication implausible.[4] > > Collecting data is becoming increasingly difficult for the Gaza Health Ministry due to the destruction of much of the infrastructure.[5] The Ministry has had to augment its usual reporting, based on people dying in its hospitals or brought in dead, with information from reliable media sources and first responders. This change has inevitably degraded the detailed data recorded previously. Consequently, the Gaza Health Ministry now reports separately the number of unidentified bodies among the total death toll. As of May 10, 2024, 30% of the 35 091 deaths were unidentified.[1] > > Some officials and news agencies have used this development, designed to improve data quality, to undermine the veracity of the data. However, **the number of reported deaths is likely an underestimate. The non-governmental organisation Airwars undertakes detailed assessments of incidents in the Gaza Strip and often finds that not all names of identifiable victims are included in the Ministry's list.[6] Furthermore, the UN estimates that, by Feb 29, 2024, 35% of buildings in the Gaza Strip had been destroyed,[5] so the number of bodies still buried in the rubble is likely substantial, with estimates of more than 10 000.**[7] This would raise the estimate to 237,000

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    www.sciencedaily.com

    > October 28, 2009, Harvard University — Psychologists have found that the more a person appears to suffer when tortured, the guiltier they are perceived to be. According to the researchers, those complicit with the torture need to justify the torture, and therefore link the victim's pain to blame. The full paper, which seems to have been published in 2010, even though the summary is from 2009(???), is: "Torture and judgments of guilt," by Kurt Gray and Daniel M. Wegner. [Full study is free to read here](https://sci-hub.st/10.1016/j.jesp.2009.10.003) So if you are ever arrested and mistreated, try to act stoic, I guess. It's easy to see how this phenomenon could lead to spiraling sadism and abuse, as the abuser lashes out in hatred to bury their increasing guilt.

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    www.sciencedaily.com

    July 10, 2024, University of Cologne — Researchers have achieved a significant breakthrough in quantum materials, potentially setting the stage for advancements in topological superconductivity and robust quantum computing. The full paper, free to read: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41567-024-02574-1

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    https://dessalines.github.io/essays/socialism_faq.html#kamala-harris

    Courtesy of Dessilines, with a lot of cribbing from this earlier list https://politijohn.tumblr.com/post/186036319237/get-to-know-kamala-harris

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    tweet sources: - Prem Thakker: https://x.com/prem_thakker/status/1808157930589413396 - Ben Gvir: https://x.com/itamarbengvir/status/1808031178277925263 ::: spoiler Full google translation of Gvir's statement: >The time has come to dismantle the spins, and answer the flood of briefings and false accusations by the Shin Bet and its spokespersons in the media. > >Since I assumed the position of Minister of National Security, one of the highest goals I have set for myself is to worsen the conditions of the terrorists in the prisons, and to reduce their rights to the minimum required by law. This is what I committed to my voters and the people of Israel back in the elections, when I announced that I would claim the position. > >Everything published about the abominable conditions of these vile murderers in prison was true. They ruled the prisons without question, and did whatever they pleased. > >In the last year, before the war broke out, I waged a war of attrition to carry out the long-awaited reform of their conditions, and to fulfill the mandate I received from the public. The central organization that fought my attempts to lead this important reform, and even managed to prevent it, is the Shin Bet, under the command of Ronan Bar. It stood on its hind legs, and convinced the prime minister time and again that worsening the conditions of the terrorists would lead to an escalation, an explosion, the burning of the Middle East . What not. > >On the seventh of October we discovered the bitter truth: our enemies do not need any excuse to massacre us, and lead to "escalation". They have one reason why they do this: our existence as Jews. > >At the same time, after the outbreak of the war, I was able to finally carry out the long-awaited reform. The conditions of the terrorists in the prison were reduced to a minimum: we stopped the financial deposits, canceled the canteens for the terrorists, removed the electrical devices from the cells, stopped the terrorists' promenade, dramatically reduced the terrorists' stay in the showers, canceled the speaker's status, stopped the indulgent food menu that was converted into a minimal menu, and in short - We completely stopped the summer camp conditions. Terrorists who are currently released from prison testify that they will never want to return to Israeli prison. The prisons of the State of Israel are no longer a sad joke. > >As part of the war, the army made many arrests of terrorists and wanted terrorists in Yosh, along with many terrorists who were brought from Gaza. A large part of the detainees were housed in a military camp, Sde Yemen, where they were held by the army. The IDF and the Shin Bet rushed to fold, and to announce that the conditions of incarceration at the site would be examined, and that the number of prisoners held at the site would be reduced. In practice, a situation has arisen in which due to the harsh living conditions of the prisoners (we are talking about despicable terrorists, yes?), there are now 1,500 vacant prison places in the Yemeni field. > >Even in the prisons that are under the responsibility of the Security Service, where many terrorists were taken in, overcrowding was created. But I never thought of releasing terrorists from prison because they are crowded. > >And this is the core of the dispute between me and Shin Bet chief Ronan Bar:Ronan Bar claims that the conditions of the terrorists in prison, including overcrowding, look bad in the world, and may lead to escalation. And I claim that if any other country in the world were to do what was done to us, it would do many times more against those terrorists - and put one big line on all those who cluck their tongues. Are they crowded? Next time they will think twice before they go out to slaughter, rape and loot. > >And as for the Shin Bet's claims according to which the Shin Bet and the Ministry of National Security did nothing to establish and add new prisons - this is nonsense, which was fully promoted by the leftist media. These are the exact facts: the Shevash has already begun an accelerated construction project of new prisons, and since October 2,500 new prisons have been added. Another project began last April, and it includes the construction of 936 additional prisons that is currently underway, when in addition to the emergency construction during the war, the Shev S. will complete by the end of the year a construction project of about 1,200 prison places throughout the country. All this, alongside the fact that since the beginning of the war, the Israel Defense Forces has captured a record number of over 5,000 terrorists arrested by the security forces. > > It is very possible that even after the addition of the new prisons is completed, the many terrorists will still be overcrowded in prison. I have already proposed a much simpler solution, of enacting the death penalty for terrorists, which would solve the overcrowding issue - legislation to which the Shin Bet is also vehemently opposed. But until this legislation, with God's help, is passed, nothing will happen if the No'Hava terrorist, who burned a baby girl in October 7, It will be crowded in the prison cell where he died. :::

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    https://web.archive.org/web/20201105081005/http://berniewouldhavelost.com/

    One of the most striking lines of evidence is the exit poll discrepancies. There were discrepancies in regions with electronic voting, but not in hand-counted regions, and the discrepancies were almost always biased against Sanders.

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    electronicintifada.net

    These are math estimates with margins, not official tallies, but the reasoning makes sense.

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